Elm Flats Solar SLF (ERCOT-26INR0130) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-26INR0130
Capacity
125.58 MW
Technology
Solar+Battery
Status
active
Location
Navarro, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Orca Falls Solar, LLC
IA Status
Facility Study

Elm Flats Solar SLF

ERCOT-26INR0130BetaActiveSolarBatteryERCOTLBNL + Live

125.58 MW hybrid in Navarro, TX · In queue since July 2024 · Proposed COD September 2027

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

125.58 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

2 years

In Queue

Facility Study

IA Phase

COD target: 2027

Interconnection

Total Duration

3y 2m

Facilities Study50%
Queue EntryJul 30, 2024

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection StudyCurrent

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2027-09-30

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Medium confidence·4 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2027-09-30
From queue filing
Developer
Birch Creek
Filed as Orca Falls Solar, LLC
Status
Active
Active — Facility Study stage, no IA executed yet. Texas PUC filings show ongoing interconnection amendments with Oncor as of November-December 2025.
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedNov 2025Most recent

Amendment No. 1 to Standard Generation Interconnection Agreement filed with Oncor Electric Delivery

source
About

The Elm Flats Solar SLF project is a proposed solar generation facility with a total capacity of 125.58 MW. Located in Navarro County, Texas, the project is being developed by Elm Flats Solar, LLC. It is currently active in the ERCOT interconnection queue as entry ERCOT-26INR0130, with a queue entry date of July 30, 2024.

The proposed commercial operation date for the Elm Flats Solar SLF project is September 30, 2027. Its interconnection status is currently in the Facility Study phase. The point of interconnection is Tap 138kV 3472 BRIAR_CRK_8 _x0013_ 3467 POWELL1_8.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Withdrawal probability vs cohort
IA cluster risk
Project Details

State

TX

County

Navarro

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Orca Falls Solar, LLC

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

Tap 138kV 3472 BRIAR_CRK_8 – 3467 POWELL1_8

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD
Capacity factor vs cohort
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD
Financing close risk
Cohort DSCR comparison
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_NORTH
Hub Confidence
LOW

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.