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Featured case study

Beta

Coming soon

More real events and market shifts, reconstructed from evidence into asset, contract, and decision consequences.

4 in development

Historical risk replay

Coming soon

Hurricane Maria: When the Grid Outage Outlasted Asset Repair

A hurricane damaged generation, but the longer loss came from a third-party grid that stayed down for months.

What it will answer

What changes when grid restoration—not asset repair—sets the interruption clock?

HurricaneGrid dependencyInsurance gap

Historical risk replay

Coming soon

Camp Fire: When One Asset's Liability Became Enterprise Risk

PG&E's equipment ignited a fire whose third-party liability dwarfed the owned-equipment loss.

What it will answer

How do you keep a clean first-party model from missing the risk that can wipe out equity?

WildfireLiabilityEnterprise risk

Historical risk replay

Coming soon

Moss Landing: When a Battery Fire Rewrote the Loss Model

Thermal runaway joined asset destruction, lost dispatch value, environmental response, and third-party exposure.

What it will answer

How should storage risk change when output and price combine into one dispatch-value baseline?

Battery storageThermal runawayDispatch value

Historical risk replay

Coming soon

Spain's Solar Reversal: When Policy Repriced Existing Assets

The panels kept producing, but retroactive tariff changes permanently reduced what each MWh was worth.

What it will answer

How does policy risk reach valuation and bankability when the physical asset never stops working?

PolicySolarStructural devaluation