Padrino Solar (ERCOT-25INR0166) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-25INR0166
Capacity
201.4 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Hill, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Hill Solar II, LLC
IA Status
IA Executed

Padrino Solar

ERCOT-25INR0166BetaActiveSolarERCOTLBNL + Live

201.4 MW generation in Hill, TX · In queue since September 2022 · Proposed COD October 2026

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

201.4 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

3y 10m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Dec 2024

Interconnection

Queue → IA

2y 3m

IA → COD

1y 10m

Total Duration

2y 3m

Construction75%
Queue EntrySep 15, 2022

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementDec 24, 2024

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 12–24 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2026-10-01

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Medium confidence·6 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
Sep 2026
From queue filing
Developer
Hill Solar II, LLC
From queue filing
Status
Active
Active — IA executed December 2024, targeting 2026 commercial operation
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedDec 24, 2024

Interconnection Agreement executed with ERCOT

source
COD targetSep 2026Most recent

Expected commercial operation September 2026

source
About

The Padrino Solar project is a proposed 201.4 MW solar generation facility in Hill County, Texas. The project, developed by Hill Solar II, LLC, is currently active in the ERCOT interconnection queue as entry ERCOT-25INR0166, with a queue entry date of September 15, 2022. The proposed commercial operation date is July 30, 2026, and the project's interconnection agreement status is currently in the Facility Study phase.

The point of interconnection for Padrino Solar is the Tap 345kV 68090 Sam Switch _x0013_ 3389 Fort Smith. The project consists of 201.4 MW of solar photovoltaic generation.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

TX

County

Hill

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Hill Solar II, LLC

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

Tap 345kV 68090 Sam Switch – 3389 Fort Smith

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_NORTH
Hub Confidence
LOW

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.