Grandfalls Solar (ERCOT-19INR0002) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-19INR0002
Capacity
175.6 MW
Technology
Solar+Battery
Status
active
Location
Upton, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Nextera
IA Status
IA Executed

Grandfalls Solar

ERCOT-19INR0002BetaActiveSolarBatteryERCOTLBNL + Live

175.6 MW hybrid in Upton, TX · In queue since May 2016 · Proposed COD July 2027

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

175.6 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

10y 2m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Jan 2025

Interconnection

Queue → IA

8y 8m

IA → COD

2y 6m

Total Duration

8y 8m

Construction75%
Queue EntryMay 24, 2016

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementJan 23, 2025

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 18–30 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2027-07-01

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
High confidence·6 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
Jul 2027
From queue filing
Developer
NextEra Energy
Filed as King Mountain Solar, LLC
Status
Active
Active — IA executed January 2025, construction targeting July 2027 COD per ERCOT capacity planning documents
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedJan 23, 2025

Interconnection Agreement executed with ERCOT

source
COD targetJul 2027Most recent

Commercial operation date targeted for July 2027 per ERCOT MORA

source
About

The Grandfalls Solar project is a proposed 178 MW solar generation facility in Upton County, Texas. The project, developed by Nextera, is located within the ERCOT region and interconnected to the ERCOT queue as entry ERCOT-19INR0002 on May 24, 2016.

The proposed commercial operation date for Grandfalls Solar is July 1, 2027. The project's interconnection status is currently in the Facility Study phase. The point of interconnection is the tap 345kV 11028 Odessa - 76000 N McCamey. The project has appeared in recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

TX

County

Upton

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Nextera

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

842 King Mountain Station 345kV

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_WEST
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
Nearest Node (Estimated)
OECCS_1
POI Substation
Odessa Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

No insights available for this project.
InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.