TVA-654

TVA-654BetaActiveHydroTVALBNL

24 MW generation in Hamilton, TN · In queue since September 2024 · Proposed COD February 2028

BA: TVANERC: SERCRC: TVA

24 MW

Capacity

Components

Hydro

1y 10m

In Queue

Cluster Study

IA Phase

COD target: 2028

Interconnection

Total Duration

3y 5m

Study Phase

TC25-051

Impact Study25%

Queue EntrySep 26, 2024

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection StudyCurrent

Project undergoes interconnection studies to assess grid impact.

Typical: 18–36 months

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2028-02-01

About

TVA-654 is a proposed 24 MW hydroelectric generation project located in Hamilton County, Tennessee. The project, under development by the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), entered the TVA interconnection queue on September 26, 2024, with a proposed commercial operation date of February 1, 2028. Its interconnection status is currently in the Cluster Study phase. The point of interconnection is the Chickamauga HP Bus 360712.

The project consists of 24 MW of hydroelectric capacity. It is listed as an active project in the interconnection queue.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

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See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)

Withdrawal probability vs cohort

IA cluster risk

Project Details

State

County

Hamilton

Grid Region

Southeast

Market

—

Developer

—

Utility

Tennessee Valley Authority

Entity

TVA

Service Type

—

Point of Interconnection

Chickamauga HP Bus 360712

Data Source

LBNL

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

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See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)

Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)

Offtake + transmission counterparty

Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

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See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD

Capacity factor vs cohort

Weather + policy scenarios

Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

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See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD

Financing close risk

Cohort DSCR comparison

Market Context

Approximate

ISO / RTO: SOUTHEAST
Trading Hub: TVA
Hub Confidence: UNKNOWN

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.

Project TVA-654 — Project Summary

TVA-654