Project TVA-648 — Project Summary

Queue ID
TVA-648
Capacity
32 MW
Technology
Hydro
Status
active
Location
Grainger, TN
Region
Southeast
Developer
IA Status
Cluster Study

TVA-648

TVA-648BetaActiveHydroTVALBNL

32 MW generation in Grainger, TN · In queue since September 2024 · Proposed COD February 2028

BA: TVANERC: SERCRC: TVA

32 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Hydro

1y 10m

In Queue

Cluster Study

IA Phase

COD target: 2028

Interconnection

Total Duration

3y 5m

Study Phase

TC25-045

Impact Study25%
Queue EntrySep 20, 2024

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection StudyCurrent

Project undergoes interconnection studies to assess grid impact.

Typical: 18–36 months

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2028-02-01

About

TVA-648 is a proposed 32 MW hydroelectric generation project located in Grainger County, Tennessee. The project is sponsored by the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) and interconnected to the Cherokee HP Bus 360466. It is currently listed as an active project in the TVA interconnection queue, with a queue entry date of September 20, 2024. The proposed commercial operation date is February 1, 2028, and its interconnection status is currently in the Cluster Study phase.

The proposed project consists of 32 MW of hydroelectric capacity. It is listed in the TVA interconnection queue as project TVA-648.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

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See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Withdrawal probability vs cohort
IA cluster risk
Project Details

State

TN

County

Grainger

Grid Region

Southeast

Market

Developer

Utility

Tennessee Valley Authority

Entity

TVA

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

Cherokee HP Bus 360466

Data Source

LBNL

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

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See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD
Capacity factor vs cohort
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD
Financing close risk
Cohort DSCR comparison
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
SOUTHEAST
Trading Hub
TVA
Hub Confidence
UNKNOWN

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.