Bear Garden 230kV

PJM-AH1-687 - moved to TC2BetaActiveNatural GasPJMLive · PJM

682 MW generation in Buckingham, VA · In queue since April 2025

BA: PJMISO/RTO: PJMNERC: SERCRC: PJM

682 MW

Capacity

Components

1y 3m

In Queue

—

IA Status

Status

as of 16y 1m ago

Latest milestonemore than 50% completeENR · 2010-06-01

Expected COD2011-05ENR · 2010-06-01

Interconnection

Total Duration

1y 3m

Pre-Study0%

Queue EntryApr 8, 2025

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

System Impact Study

PJM processes interconnection requests through multi-phase System Impact Studies (SIS).

Typical: ~48 months (historically longest)

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Commercial operation date not yet determined

Cross-source intelligence

Beta

Medium confidence·1 sources·as of 2026-06-01

Expected COD

May 2011

Developer

Dominion Energy Virginia

From queue filing

Status

Online

Active in LBNL queue as of April 2025, but construction milestone reporting from 2010-2011 indicates facility likely operational since 2011. Queue re-entry may reflect capacity expansion, repowering, or administrative correction.

Financing

Secured

Project was under construction by mid-2010 with Fluor Corp. as EPC contractor, indicating financing was closed prior to construction start.

Key milestones

construction milestoneJun 2010

Project reported >50% complete by Fluor Corp.

source

COD targetMay 2011Most recent

Expected commercial operation date May 2011

source

Project lifecycle

as of 2010-06-01

PhaseConstructionENR · 2010-06-01

OperationalNoENR · 2010-06-01

TechnologygasENR · 2010-06-01

DeveloperDominion Virginia PowerENR · 2010-06-01

EPC contractorFluor Corp.ENR · 2010-06-01

GroundbreakingAnnouncedENR · 2010-06-01

Permit decisionGrantedENR · 2010-06-01

About

The Bear Garden 230kV project is a proposed 682 MW natural gas generation project located in Buckingham County, Virginia. The project is being developed within the Dominion service area and has appeared in recent industry news.

The project is listed in the PJM interconnection queue as entry PJM-AH1-687, which has been moved to TC2. The queue entry date is April 8, 2025. The project's status is currently listed as active.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

PJM Queue

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)

Withdrawal probability vs cohort

IA cluster risk

Project Details

State

County

Buckingham

Grid Region

PJM Interconnection

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

—

Utility

Dominion

Entity

PJM

Service Type

Generation Interconnection

Data Source

Live · PJM

DeveloperDominion Virginia PowerENR · 2010-06-01

EPC contractorFluor Corp.ENR · 2010-06-01

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)

Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)

Offtake + transmission counterparty

Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD

Capacity factor vs cohort

Weather + policy scenarios

Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD

Financing close risk

Cohort DSCR comparison

Market Context

Approximate

ISO / RTO: PJM
Trading Hub: DOMINION HUB
Hub Confidence: MEDIUM

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

Insights & Articles (1)Beta

Last updated 2026-03-14

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Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.

Bear Garden 230kV (PJM-AH1-687 - moved to TC2) — Project Summary

Bear Garden 230kV