Horsepen Creek Solar I (PJM-AH1-170) — Project Summary

Queue ID
PJM-AH1-170
Capacity
20 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Goochland, VA
Region
PJM
Developer
Horsepen Creek Solar, LLC
IA Status
System Impact Study

Horsepen Creek Solar I

PJM-AH1-170BetaActiveSolarPJMLBNL

20 MW generation in Goochland, VA · In queue since March 2025 · Proposed COD December 2024

BA: PJMISO/RTO: PJMNERC: SERCRC: PJM

20 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

1y 2m

In Queue

System Impact Study

IA Phase

COD target: 2024

Interconnection

Total Duration

1y 2m

Schedule

18 months past proposed COD

Study Phase

TC2

Impact Study25%
Queue EntryMar 7, 2025

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

System Impact StudyCurrent

PJM processes interconnection requests through multi-phase System Impact Studies (SIS).

Typical: ~48 months (historically longest)

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2024-12-20

About

PJM-AH1-170 is a proposed 20 MW solar generation project located in Goochland County, Virginia. The project is being developed within the Dominion service area and is interconnected to the PJM grid at the Columbia DP 115kV point of interconnection.

The project entered the PJM interconnection queue on August 27, 2021, with a proposed commercial operation date of December 20, 2024. Its interconnection agreement status is currently listed as "In Progress (unknown study)".

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

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See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Withdrawal probability vs cohort
IA cluster risk
Project Details

State

VA

County

Goochland

Grid Region

PJM Interconnection

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Horsepen Creek Solar, LLC

Utility

Dominion

Entity

PJM

Service Type

NRIS

Point of Interconnection

Columbia DP 115kV

Data Source

LBNL

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD
Capacity factor vs cohort
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD
Financing close risk
Cohort DSCR comparison
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
PJM
Trading Hub
DOMINION HUB
Hub Confidence
HIGH
Nearest Node (Estimated)
COLU BC 13.8 KV 230-2LD
POI Substation
Columbia Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.