Sugar Maple Solar (NYISO-953) — Project Summary

Queue ID
NYISO-953
Capacity
125 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Lewis, NY
Region
NYISO
Developer
Sugar Maple Solar, LLC
IA Status
System Impact Study

Sugar Maple Solar

NYISO-953BetaActiveSolarNYISOLBNL

125 MW generation in Lewis, NY · In queue since December 2019 · Proposed COD December 2027

BA: NYISISO/RTO: NYISONERC: NPCCRC: NYIS

125 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

6y 7m

In Queue

System Impact Study

IA Phase

COD target: 2027

Status
as of 18 months ago
Latest activityConstruction startWWNY · 2025-01-07
Interconnection

Total Duration

8 years

Impact Study25%
Queue EntryDec 5, 2019

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

TCS StudyCurrent

NYISO transitioned to a Transitional Cluster Study (TCS) format in 2024.

Typical: >42 months (historical); ~24 months target

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2027-12-01

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Low confidence·1 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2027-12-01
From queue filing
Developer
AES Clean Energy
Filed as Sugar Maple Solar, LLC
Status
Active
Active — construction start planned per January 2025 news coverage, currently in System Impact Study phase
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
construction start2025Most recent

Construction start planned for Sugar Maple Solar project in Carthage area

source
About

Sugar Maple Solar is a proposed 125 MW solar generation project located in Lewis County, New York. The project, developed by Sugar Maple Solar, LLC, is currently active in the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) interconnection queue as queue ID NYISO-953. The project entered the queue on December 5, 2019, and has a proposed commercial operation date of December 1, 2027. Its interconnection status is currently in the System Impact Study phase.

The point of interconnection for the project is the North Carthage - Taylorville #8 and Black River - Taylorville #2 115kV lines. The Sugar Maple Solar project has been mentioned in recent news coverage related to development.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Withdrawal probability vs cohort
IA cluster risk
Project Details

State

NY

County

Lewis

Grid Region

NYISO (New York)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Sugar Maple Solar, LLC

Utility

NM-NG

Entity

NYISO

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

North Carthage - Taylorville #8 and Black River - Taylorville #2 115kV

Data Source

LBNL

DeveloperAES Clean EnergyWWNY · 2025-01-07
Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD
Capacity factor vs cohort
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD
Financing close risk
Cohort DSCR comparison
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
NYISO
Trading Hub
ZONE D
Hub Confidence
HIGH
Nearest Node (Estimated)
NORTH

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

Insights & Articles (1)Beta

Last updated 2026-03-26

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Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.