LOST PINES GAS RECIP PHASE 2 (ERCOT-31INR0010) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-31INR0010
Capacity
113.02 MW
Technology
Gas
Status
active
Location
Bastrop, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
LCRA
IA Status
Facility Study

LOST PINES GAS RECIP PHASE 2

ERCOT-31INR0010BetaActiveGasERCOTLBNL + Live

113.02 MW generation in Bastrop, TX · In queue since July 2025 · Proposed COD May 2031

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

113.02 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Gas

1 year

In Queue

Facility Study

IA Phase

COD target: 2031

Interconnection

Total Duration

5y 10m

Facilities Study50%
Queue EntryJul 7, 2025

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection StudyCurrent

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2031-05-10

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Low confidence·0 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2031-05-10
From queue filing
Developer
LCRA
From queue filing
Status
Active
Active — early-stage Facility Study phase for 2031 target COD
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedJul 7, 2025

Entered ERCOT interconnection queue, Facility Study phase

COD targetMay 10, 2031Most recent

Proposed commercial operation date per ERCOT queue

About

The LOST PINES GAS RECIP PHASE 2 project is a proposed 113.02 MW gas-fired generation project located in Bastrop County, Texas. The project, utilizing internal combustion technology, is being developed by LCRA. It is currently active in the ERCOT interconnection queue as entry ERCOT-31INR0010, with a queue entry date of July 7, 2025, and a proposed commercial operation date of May 10, 2031. The project's interconnection agreement (IA) date is December 26, 2025, and its point of interconnection is the LOST PINES 345 kV substation.

The development project is listed in the ERCOT queue, indicating it is undergoing the interconnection process required to connect to the regional grid. The project's active status suggests that it is currently meeting the requirements of the interconnection process.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Withdrawal probability vs cohort
IA cluster risk
Project Details

State

TX

County

Bastrop

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

LCRA

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

(#170174) LOST PINES 345 kV

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD
Capacity factor vs cohort
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD
Financing close risk
Cohort DSCR comparison
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_NORTH
Hub Confidence
LOW

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

No insights available for this project.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.