Lost Pines Power Park (ERCOT-30INR0052) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-30INR0052
Capacity
880 MW
Technology
Gas
Status
active
Location
Bastrop, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
LCRA
IA Status
Facility Study

Lost Pines Power Park

ERCOT-30INR0052BetaActiveGasERCOTLBNL + Live

880 MW generation in Bastrop, TX · In queue since June 2025 · Proposed COD December 2030

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

880 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Gas

1y 1m

In Queue

Facility Study

IA Phase

COD target: 2030

Interconnection

Total Duration

5y 6m

Facilities Study50%
Queue EntryJun 19, 2025

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection StudyCurrent

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2030-12-15

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Low confidence·0 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2030-12-15
From queue filing
Developer
LCRA
From queue filing
Status
Active
Active — early-stage Facility Study phase for 2030 target
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedJun 19, 2025Most recent

Entered ERCOT interconnection queue, Facility Study phase

About

The Lost Pines Power Park is a proposed 880 MW gas-fired combined-cycle generation project located in Bastrop County, Texas. Developed by LCRA, the project is interconnected within the ERCOT region under queue ID ERCOT-30INR0052. It entered the ERCOT interconnection queue on June 19, 2025, with a proposed commercial operation date of December 15, 2030, and an Interconnection Agreement (IA) date of December 26, 2025. The point of interconnection is the Lost Pines 345 kV substation.

This development project is linked to the existing Lost Pines 1 Power Project operating plant (EIA ID 55154). The confidence level of the match between the proposed project and the existing plant is 79%. The project has appeared in recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Withdrawal probability vs cohort
IA cluster risk
Project Details

State

TX

County

Bastrop

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

LCRA

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

(#170174) LOST PINES 345 kV

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD
Capacity factor vs cohort
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

Revenue conditioned on COD
Financing close risk
Cohort DSCR comparison
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_SOUTH
Hub Confidence
HIGH
Nearest Node (Estimated)
LOS_LOSTPGT1
POI Substation
Lost Pines Station

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

No insights available for this project.
InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.