Trail Ranch Solar 2 (ERCOT-29INR0272) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-29INR0272
Capacity
132.85 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Concho, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Aurora Solar LLC
IA Status
—

Trail Ranch Solar 2

ERCOT-29INR0272BetaActiveSolarPhotovoltaic SolarERCOTLive · ERCOT

132.85 MW generation in Concho, TX · In queue since January 2026 · Proposed COD December 2029

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

132.85 MW

Capacity

0

Components

9 months

In Queue

—

IA Status

COD target: 2029

Asset Intelligence Map

One connected view of the asset's ownership, operating or development evidence, grid context, commercial relationships, history, and forward outlook.

4 live dimensions
4 decision models

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Structured from the current asset record; empty data branches are omitted.Locked nodes are InfraSure decision models; no simulated values shown.
Interconnection

Total Duration

3y 11m

Pre-Study0%
Queue EntryJan 14, 2026

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2029-12-01

About

Trail Ranch Solar 2 is a proposed photovoltaic solar development project located in Concho County, Texas. Developed by Aurora Solar LLC, the project has a planned generating capacity of 132.85 MW. It is designed to connect to the grid at a tap on the 345 kV transmission line between the Red Creek (6444) and Amos Creek (7077) substations.

The project is listed in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) interconnection queue under the identifier ERCOT-29INR0272. It entered the queue on January 14, 2026, and its status is active. The proposed commercial operation date is December 1, 2029.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

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P(COD by stated date)
Withdrawal probability vs cohort
IA cluster risk
Project Details

State

TX

County

Concho

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Aurora Solar LLC

Utility

—

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

—

Point of Interconnection

Tap 345 kV 6444 Red Creek -7077 Amos Creek

Data Source

Live · ERCOT

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

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See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

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See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

P50 conditioned on COD
Capacity factor vs cohort
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

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Revenue conditioned on COD
Financing close risk
Cohort DSCR comparison
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_WEST
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
POI Substation
San Angelo Red Creek Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.