Trail Ranch Solar 1
301.9 MW generation in Concho, TX · In queue since November 2025 · Proposed COD December 2029
301.9 MW
Capacity
0
Components
11 months
In Queue
—
IA Status
COD target: 2029
One connected view of the asset's ownership, operating or development evidence, grid context, commercial relationships, history, and forward outlook.
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Total Duration
4y 1m
Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO
ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.
Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)
Interconnection agreement not yet executed
Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)
Proposed COD: 2029-12-01
Trail Ranch Solar 1 is a proposed photovoltaic solar generation project in Concho County, Texas, within the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region. Aurora Solar LLC is developing the project, which has a total planned capacity of 301.9 megawatts (MW). It would connect to the grid at a tap on the 345 kV transmission line between the Red Creek (#6444) and AMOS Creek (#7077) substations.
The project entered the ERCOT interconnection queue on November 18, 2025, under queue ID ERCOT-29INR0139, and its status is listed as active. It has a proposed commercial operation date of December 1, 2029. The available data does not indicate whether an interconnection agreement has been executed.
Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources
Realization risk before commercial operation — cluster-study clearance, IA timing, counterparty mix, and withdrawal probability vs cohort. The diligence view that determines whether this project is worth pursuing. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.
See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.
State
TX
County
Concho
Grid Region
ERCOT (Texas)
Market
ISO/RTO Member
Developer
Aurora Solar LLC
Utility
—
Entity
ERCOT
Service Type
—
Point of Interconnection
Tap 345KV #6444 Red Creek - #7077 AMOS Creek
Data Source
Live · ERCOT
Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile would look like once it reaches commercial operation. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.
See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.
Forward generation outlook — what this project would produce assuming it reaches commercial operation. Probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios, conditioned on the proposed COD. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.
See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.
Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. The bankability view that determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.
See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.
- ISO / RTO
- ERCOT
- Trading Hub
- HB_NORTH
- Hub Confidence
- LOW
This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.
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Ask about Trail Ranch Solar 1Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.
