Gaia Solar

ERCOT-24INR0141BetaActiveSolarBatteryERCOTLBNL + Live

144.02 MW hybrid in Navarro, TX · In queue since December 2021 · Proposed COD May 2026

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

144.02 MW

Capacity

Components

Solar

4y 7m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Nov 2023

Interconnection

Queue → IA

1y 11m

IA → COD

2y 6m

Total Duration

1y 11m

Schedule

2 months past proposed COD

Construction75%

Queue EntryDec 29, 2021

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementNov 8, 2023

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 18–30 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2026-05-01

Cross-source intelligence

Beta

High confidence·5 sources·as of 2026-06-01

Expected COD

Oct 2025

Queue date 1–2 years staleQueue: 2026-05-01

Developer

Sunraycer Renewables

Filed as Gaia Solar, LLC

Status

IA Executed

IA Executed — construction underway, operational target Q2-Q3 2025 per equipment supplier and PUC filing

Financing

Secured

Meta Environmental Attribute Purchase Agreement signed May 2025 for 100% of project output; Canadian Solar equipment supply contract (188 MWh BESS + up to 2 GWp solar modules) secured Dec 2024

Key milestones

IA executedNov 8, 2023

Interconnection Agreement executed with ERCOT

source

Financing closeDec 2024

Canadian Solar secured contract for 188 MWh BESS and solar modules, announced Dec 12, 2024

source

Financing closeMay 1, 2025

Meta signed Environmental Attribute Purchase Agreement for 100% of project capacity

source

COD targetMay 23, 2025

Texas PUC filing states expected in-service date of May 23, 2025

source

COD targetOct 2025Most recent

Canadian Solar announcement: project due operational before October 2025

source

About

Gaia Solar is a proposed 152.65 MW solar generation project located in Navarro County, Texas. The project, developed by Gaia Solar, LLC, is interconnected within the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) queue under queue ID ERCOT-24INR0141. It entered the queue on December 29, 2021, and has a proposed commercial operation date of May 1, 2026.

The project's Interconnection Agreement (IA) was executed on November 8, 2023. The point of interconnection (POI) is at Tap 138kV 3127 Trinidad SES - 3454 Montfort Switch. The project has appeared in recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

ERCOT Queue

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)

Financing close probability

EPC + tax-equity counterparty

Project Details

State

County

Navarro

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Gaia Solar, LLC

Utility

—

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

—

Point of Interconnection

Tap 138kV 3127 Trinidad SES - 3454 Montfort Switch

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)

Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)

Offtake + transmission counterparty

Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast

First-year output estimate

Weather + policy scenarios

Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection

First-year DSCR

Financing close risk

Market Context

Approximate

ISO / RTO: ERCOT
Trading Hub: HB_NORTH
Hub Confidence: MEDIUM
Nearest Node (Estimated): TRSES_UNIT6
POI Substation: Trinidad Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.

Gaia Solar (ERCOT-24INR0141) — Project Summary

Gaia Solar