Dry Creek Solar I (ERCOT-23INR0286) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-23INR0286
Capacity
201.06 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Rusk, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
OAK HILL SOLAR LLC
IA Status
IA Executed

Dry Creek Solar I

ERCOT-23INR0286BetaActiveSolarERCOTLBNL + Live

201.06 MW generation in Rusk, TX · In queue since August 2021 · Proposed COD January 2026

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

201.06 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

4y 11m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Nov 2023

Interconnection

Queue → IA

2y 3m

IA → COD

2y 2m

Total Duration

2y 3m

Schedule

5 months past proposed COD

Construction75%
Queue EntryAug 18, 2021

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementNov 2, 2023

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 12–24 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2026-01-31

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Low confidence·3 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
Jan 2026
From queue filing
Developer
Oak Hill Solar LLC
From queue filing
Status
Active
Active — facility certification application filed with Texas PUC in September 2025, indicating pre-construction regulatory phase
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedNov 2, 2023

Interconnection Agreement executed with ERCOT

source
Permit approvedSep 2025Most recent

Oak Hill Solar LLC filed application with Texas PUC to certify Dry Creek Solar I facility

source
About

Dry Creek Solar I is a proposed 201.06 MW solar generation project located in Rusk County, Texas. The developer is OAK HILL SOLAR LLC. The project is in the ERCOT interconnection queue as entry ERCOT-23INR0286, with a queue entry date of August 18, 2021, and a proposed commercial operation date of January 31, 2026.

The project's Interconnection Agreement (IA) was executed on November 2, 2023. Dry Creek Solar I has been the subject of recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

TX

County

Rusk

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

OAK HILL SOLAR LLC

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

tap 345kV 3100 Martin Lake - 3105 Elkton (Dorsett 345kV Switching Station)

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_NORTH
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
Nearest Node (Estimated)
MLSES_UNIT1
POI Substation
Martin Lake Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.