Cradle Solar (ERCOT-23INR0150) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-23INR0150
Capacity
200.85 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Brazoria, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Cradle Solar LLC
IA Status
IA Executed

Cradle Solar

ERCOT-23INR0150BetaActiveSolarERCOTLBNL + Live

200.85 MW generation in Brazoria, TX · In queue since February 2021 · Proposed COD September 2027

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

200.85 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

5y 5m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Mar 2023

Interconnection

Queue → IA

2y 1m

IA → COD

4y 6m

Total Duration

2y 1m

Construction75%
Queue EntryFeb 4, 2021

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementMar 15, 2023

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 12–24 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2027-09-17

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
High confidence·7 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2027
From queue filing
Developer
Leeward Renewable Energy
Filed as Cradle Solar LLC
Status
IA Executed
IA Executed — construction expected to generate 300+ jobs at peak per March 2024 announcement, targeting 2027 COD
Financing
Secured
Microsoft PPA signed March 2024 for 200MW (part of 400MW dual-project deal with Morrow Lake Solar)
Key milestones
IA executedMar 15, 2023

Interconnection Agreement executed with ERCOT

source
Financing closeMar 27, 2024

Microsoft PPA signed for 200MW Cradle Solar facility

source
COD target2027Most recent

Expected online 2027

source
About

Cradle Solar is a proposed 200.85 MW solar generation project located in Brazoria County, Texas. The developer is Cradle Solar LLC. This project is in the ERCOT interconnection queue as entry ERCOT-23INR0150, with a queue entry date of February 4, 2021, and a proposed commercial operation date of February 22, 2027.

The project's Interconnection Agreement (IA) has been executed as of March 15, 2023. Cradle Solar is linked to the existing operating Cradle Solar plant (EIA ID 65822). The point of interconnection is the tap 345kV 42500 Dow - 43035 Oasis ckt 18.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

TX

County

Brazoria

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Cradle Solar LLC

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

tap 345kV 42500 Dow - 43035 Oasis ckt 18

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_HOUSTON
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
Nearest Node (Estimated)
DOW_61_2_63
POI Substation
Dow Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.