Lavaca Bay Solar (ERCOT-23INR0084) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-23INR0084
Capacity
243.46 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Matagorda, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Lavaca Bay Solar Project, LLC
IA Status
IA Executed

Lavaca Bay Solar

ERCOT-23INR0084BetaActiveSolarERCOTLBNL

243.46 MW generation in Matagorda, TX · In queue since September 2020 · Proposed COD December 2026

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

243.46 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

5y 10m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Jun 2022

Interconnection

Queue → IA

1y 9m

IA → COD

4y 6m

Total Duration

1y 9m

Construction75%
Queue EntrySep 11, 2020

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementJun 15, 2022

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 12–24 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2026-12-31

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Medium confidence·5 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2026-12-31
From queue filing
Developer
TC Energy
Recent ownership change
Status
Active
Active — IA executed June 2022, project sold to TC Energy in Feb 2024, no construction timeline announced post-acquisition
Financing
Unannounced
Ownership history
  1. 2024-02·NorthRenew EnergyTC Energy Solar LLCsource
Key milestones
Permit approvedDec 6, 2021

Van Vleck ISD approved 24,000-acre reinvestment zone and tax value limitation agreement

source
IA executedJun 15, 2022

SGIA amendment provisions filed with ERCOT and CenterPoint Energy Houston Electric

source
Ownership changeFeb 2024Most recent

NorthRenew Energy sold 300 MW Lavaca Bay Solar project to major midstream energy company (TC Energy)

source
About

Lavaca Bay Solar is a proposed 243.46 MW solar generation project located in Matagorda County, Texas. The project, being developed by TC Energy Solar LLC, is interconnected within the ERCOT region under queue ID ERCOT-23INR0084. It entered the interconnection queue on September 11, 2020, and has a proposed commercial operation date of December 31, 2026.

The project's Interconnection Agreement (IA) has been executed as of June 15, 2022. The point of interconnection (POI) is the tap 345 kV REFUGE 42400 - JONES CREEK 47532 ckt 27. The project has appeared in recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

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See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

TX

County

Matagorda

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Lavaca Bay Solar Project, LLC

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

tap 345 kV REFUGE 42400 - JONES CREEK 47532 ckt 27

Data Source

LBNL

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_NORTH
Hub Confidence
LOW

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.