Shaw Solar (ERCOT-23INR0078) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-23INR0078
Capacity
124.65 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Bandera, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Rio Lago Solar, LLC
IA Status
IA Executed

Shaw Solar

ERCOT-23INR0078BetaActiveSolarERCOTLBNL + Live

124.65 MW generation in Bandera, TX · In queue since October 2020 · Proposed COD April 2026

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

124.65 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

5y 9m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Feb 2023

Interconnection

Queue → IA

2y 4m

IA → COD

3y 2m

Total Duration

2y 4m

Schedule

2 months past proposed COD

Construction75%
Queue EntryOct 23, 2020

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementFeb 17, 2023

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 12–24 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2026-04-29

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Low confidence·2 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2026-04-29
From queue filing
Developer
Rio Lago Solar, LLC
From queue filing
Status
Active
Active — IA executed Feb 2023, no public construction or financing announcements found
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedFeb 17, 2023Most recent

Interconnection Agreement executed with ERCOT

source
About

Shaw Solar is a proposed solar generation project located in Bandera County, Texas, with a total capacity of 124.65 MW. The project, developed by Rio Lago Solar, LLC, is currently active in the ERCOT interconnection queue as entry ERCOT-23INR0078, with a queue entry date of October 23, 2020. The proposed commercial operation date is April 29, 2026, and the project's interconnection agreement status is currently in the Facility Study phase.

The Shaw Solar project has been the subject of recent news coverage, with five articles related to the industry, deals, and development of the project.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

TX

County

Bandera

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Rio Lago Solar, LLC

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

Tap 138kV 7146 Verde Creek - 7438 Bandera

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_SOUTH
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
POI Substation
Verde Creek Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.