Cedar Bayou 5 (TEF - Due Diligence)
697 MW generation in Chambers, TX · In queue since March 2020 · Proposed COD December 2027
697 MW
Capacity
1
Components
Gas
6y 4m
In Queue
IA Executed
IA Phase
Signed Jan 2022
Queue → IA
1y 10m
IA → COD
5y 11m
Total Duration
1y 10m
Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO
ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.
Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)
Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build
Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)
Project under construction
Typical: 24–48 months
Proposed COD: 2027-12-15
The Cedar Bayou 5 (TEF - Due Diligence) project is a proposed 697 MW gas-fired generation project located in Chambers County, Texas. Developed by NRG Cedar Bayou 5 LLC, the project entered the ERCOT interconnection queue as queue ID ERCOT-23INR0029 on March 26, 2020, with a proposed commercial operation date of December 15, 2027. The project has an executed Interconnection Agreement (IA) dated January 10, 2022.
This development is linked to the existing Cedar Bayou 5 operating plant (EIA plant ID 68606). The project has been the subject of recent news coverage, with 10 articles related to deals and industry developments.
Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources
Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.
See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.
State
TX
County
Chambers
Grid Region
ERCOT (Texas)
Market
ISO/RTO Member
Developer
NRG Cedar Bayou 5 LLC
Utility
—
Entity
ERCOT
Service Type
—
Point of Interconnection
40000 Cedar Bayou 345kV
Data Source
LBNL + Live
Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.
See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.
Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.
See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.
Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.
See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.
- ISO / RTO
- ERCOT
- Trading Hub
- HB_HOUSTON
- Hub Confidence
- HIGH
- Nearest Node (Estimated)
- CBY5_CC1
This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.
Last updated 2026-03-26
View all articlesForward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.
