Buffalo Creek
438.75 MW generation in Fort Bend, TX · In queue since August 2019 · Proposed COD April 2026
438.75 MW
Capacity
1
Components
Solar
6y 11m
In Queue
IA Executed
IA Phase
Signed Apr 2020
Queue → IA
8 months
IA → COD
6 years
Total Duration
8 months
Schedule
3 months past proposed COD
Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO
ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.
Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)
Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build
Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)
Project under construction
Typical: 12–24 months
Proposed COD: 2026-04-03
The Buffalo Creek project is a proposed 438.75 MW solar generation project located in Fort Bend County, Texas. Developed by Lincoln Clean Energy Development, the project entered the ERCOT interconnection queue as ERCOT-21INR0406 on August 1, 2019. Its proposed commercial operation date is February 28, 2026. The project's Interconnection Agreement (IA) was executed on April 16, 2020.
The interconnection point of contact is tap 345kV 44000 WA Parish _x0013_ 44040 BAILEY. The Buffalo Creek project has been mentioned in recent news coverage.
Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources
Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.
See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.
State
TX
County
Fort Bend
Grid Region
ERCOT (Texas)
Market
ISO/RTO Member
Developer
Lincoln Clean Energy Development
Utility
—
Entity
ERCOT
Service Type
—
Point of Interconnection
tap 345kV 44000 WA Parish – 44040 BAILEY
Data Source
LBNL + Live
Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.
See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.
Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.
See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.
Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.
See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.
- ISO / RTO
- ERCOT
- Trading Hub
- HB_NORTH
- Hub Confidence
- LOW
This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.
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Summary analysis with parallel narrative sections and visualizations.
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Data tables and metrics from the InfraSure database.
Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.
