Dove Run Solar (ERCOT-21INR0326) — Project Summary

Queue ID
ERCOT-21INR0326
Capacity
120.86 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Duval, TX
Region
ERCOT
Developer
Dove Run Solar Project, LLC
IA Status
IA Executed

Dove Run Solar

ERCOT-21INR0326BetaActiveSolarERCOTLBNL + Live

120.86 MW generation in Duval, TX · In queue since May 2019 · Proposed COD October 2027

BA: ERCOISO/RTO: ERCOTNERC: TRERC: ERCOT

120.86 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

7y 2m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Oct 2023

Interconnection

Queue → IA

4y 5m

IA → COD

4 years

Total Duration

4y 5m

Construction75%
Queue EntryMay 7, 2019

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection Study

ERCOT uses a serial "connect and manage" approach — fastest among major ISOs.

Typical: 18–30 months (fastest major ISO)

Interconnection AgreementOct 31, 2023

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 12–24 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2027-10-15

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Medium confidence·3 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2027
From queue filing
Developer
Savion
Filed as Dove Run Solar Project, LLC
Status
Active
Active — IA executed Oct 2023, tax abatement agreement finalized Oct 2024, construction timeline delayed from original 2023 target
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedOct 31, 2023

Interconnection Agreement executed with ERCOT

source
Permit approvedOct 2024

Duval County tax abatement agreement finalized for $148M project

source
COD targetOct 15, 2027Most recent

Proposed commercial operation date per ERCOT queue

source
About

Dove Run Solar is a proposed 120.86 MW solar generation project located in Duval County, Texas. The developer is Dove Run Solar Project, LLC. The project is in the ERCOT interconnection queue as entry ERCOT-21INR0326, with a queue entry date of May 7, 2019. The proposed commercial operation date is October 15, 2027.

The project's Interconnection Agreement (IA) has been executed as of October 31, 2023. The point of interconnection (POI) is at tap 138kV 8510 Falfurrias - 8695 Crestonio. The Dove Run Solar project has been mentioned in recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

TX

County

Duval

Grid Region

ERCOT (Texas)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Dove Run Solar Project, LLC

Utility

Entity

ERCOT

Service Type

Point of Interconnection

tap 138kV 8510 Falfurrias - 8695 Crestonio

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
ERCOT
Trading Hub
HB_SOUTH
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
Nearest Node (Estimated)
FALFUR_RN
POI Substation
Falfurrias Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.