Project Duke-21892 — Project Summary

Queue ID
Duke-21892
Capacity
2 MW
Technology
Solar
Status
active
Location
Marion, SC
Region
Southeast
Developer
IA Status
Construction

Duke-21892

Duke-21892BetaActiveSolarDukeLBNL

2 MW generation in Marion, SC · In queue since July 2018 · Proposed COD October 2025

BA: DUKNERC: SERCRC: VACS

2 MW

Capacity

1

Components

Solar

8 years

In Queue

Construction

IA Phase

COD target: 2025

Interconnection

Total Duration

7y 3m

Schedule

8 months past proposed COD

Study Phase

Transitional Cluster Study

In Study38%
Queue EntryJul 6, 2018

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Interconnection StudyCurrent

Project undergoes interconnection studies to assess grid impact.

Typical: 18–36 months

Interconnection Agreement

Interconnection agreement not yet executed

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2025-10-31

About

Duke-21892 is a proposed solar generation project with a total capacity of 2 MW, located in Marion County, South Carolina. The project is being developed by Duke and is interconnected to Duke Energy Progress via the Mullins 115kV point of interconnection.

The project is listed as active in the Duke Energy Progress interconnection queue, with an entry date of July 6, 2018, and a proposed commercial operation date of March 31, 2024. Its interconnection agreement status is currently listed as "Construction".

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk through commissioning — schedule slippage, construction cost overrun, and COD probability vs the stated window. The diligence view that determines whether the project comes online when promised. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

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P(COD within window)
Cost overrun probability
Schedule slippage vs plan
Project Details

State

SC

County

Marion

Grid Region

Southeast

Market

Developer

Utility

Duke Energy Progress

Entity

Duke

Service Type

Other

Point of Interconnection

Mullins 115kV

Data Source

LBNL

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

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See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with curtailment risk decomposed by congestion zone and ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

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10-year P50 forecast
Curtailment risk by node
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, first-year DSCR, and construction cost overrun exposure — what determines whether the deal clears its covenants once online. Projected across price, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

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See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

First-year DSCR
Cost overrun probability
Price + demand scenarios
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
SOUTHEAST
Trading Hub
Duke Carolinas
Hub Confidence
UNKNOWN

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

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Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.