BUTTONBUSH SOLAR 2 (CAISO-1987) — Project Summary

Queue ID
CAISO-1987
Capacity
716.4 MW
Technology
Solar+Battery
Status
active
Location
Kern, CA
Region
CAISO
Developer
IA Status
IA Executed

BUTTONBUSH SOLAR 2

CAISO-1987BetaActiveSolarBatteryCAISOLBNL + Live

716.4 MW hybrid in Kern, CA · In queue since April 2021 · Proposed COD March 2032

BA: CISOISO/RTO: CAISONERC: WECCRC: RCW

716.4 MW

Capacity

2

Components

Solar + Battery

5y 3m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed May 2025

Interconnection

Queue → IA

4y 1m

IA → COD

6y 10m

Total Duration

4y 1m

Study Phase

C14

Construction75%
Queue EntryApr 15, 2021

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Cluster Study (Phase I/II)

CAISO uses cluster studies where projects are batched annually and studied together.

Typical: 36–48 months (IR to IA)

Interconnection AgreementMay 19, 2025

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 18–30 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2032-03-17

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
High confidence·5 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2032
From queue filing
Developer
Avantus
From queue filing
Status
Active
Active — county permit approved March 2026, pre-construction phase
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedMay 19, 2025

Interconnection Agreement executed with CAISO

source
Permit approvedMar 24, 2026

Kern County Board of Supervisors approved 2GW project 4-0

source
COD targetMar 2032Most recent

Expected commercial operation date per CAISO queue

source
About

The BUTTONBUSH SOLAR 2 project is a proposed 716.4 MW hybrid solar and battery energy storage project in Kern County, California. The development project consists of 358.2 MW of solar photovoltaic generation paired with 358.2 MW of battery storage. The project is located within the CAISO region and is interconnected to the PG&E utility grid at the Midway 500 kV point of interconnection.

The project, identified by queue ID CAISO-1987, entered the CAISO interconnection queue on April 15, 2021. Its proposed commercial operation date is March 17, 2032. The project's interconnection status is currently in the System Impact Study phase. The project has appeared in recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

CA

County

Kern

Grid Region

CAISO (California)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Utility

PGAE

Entity

CAISO

Service Type

NRIS

Point of Interconnection

Midway 500 kV

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Technology
Solar358.2 MW · 50%
Battery358.2 MW · 50%
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
CAISO
Trading Hub
TH_SP15_GEN-APND
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
Nearest Node (Estimated)
MIDWAY_1_N084
POI Substation
Midway Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

No insights available for this project.
InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.