LYCAN SOLAR (CAISO-1643) — Project Summary

Queue ID
CAISO-1643
Capacity
800 MW
Technology
Solar+Battery
Status
active
Location
Riverside, CA
Region
CAISO
Developer
IA Status
IA Executed

LYCAN SOLAR

CAISO-1643BetaActiveSolarBatteryCAISOLBNL + Live

800 MW hybrid in Riverside, CA · In queue since April 2019 · Proposed COD April 2030

BA: CISOISO/RTO: CAISONERC: WECCRC: RCW

800 MW

Capacity

2

Components

Solar + Battery

7y 3m

In Queue

IA Executed

IA Phase

Signed Apr 2023

Interconnection

Queue → IA

4 years

IA → COD

7 years

Total Duration

4 years

Study Phase

C12

Construction75%
Queue EntryApr 15, 2019

Interconnection request submitted to ISO/RTO

Cluster Study (Phase I/II)

CAISO uses cluster studies where projects are batched annually and studied together.

Typical: 36–48 months (IR to IA)

Interconnection AgreementApr 13, 2023

Interconnection agreement executed — binding commitment to build

Typical: 30–60 days (negotiation)

ConstructionCurrent

Project under construction

Typical: 18–30 months

Commercial Operation

Proposed COD: 2030-04-01

Cross-source intelligence
Beta
Medium confidence·4 sources·as of 2026-06-01
Expected COD
2030
From queue filing
Developer
Avantus
Filed as Lycan Solar, LLC
Status
Active
Active — IA executed April 2023, currently in pre-construction phase per Global Energy Monitor
Financing
Unannounced
Key milestones
IA executedApr 13, 2023Most recent

Large Generator Interconnection Agreement executed with CAISO

source
About

The Lycan Solar project is a proposed 800 MW hybrid solar and battery energy storage project in Riverside County, California. The project consists of 400 MW of solar photovoltaic generation and 400 MW of battery energy storage. It is interconnected to Southern California Edison (SCE) via the Red Bluff Substation 500kV.

The project is listed in the CAISO interconnection queue as CAISO-1643, with an initial queue entry date of April 15, 2019. The proposed commercial operation date is April 1, 2030, and the Interconnection Agreement (IA) was executed on April 13, 2023. The Lycan Solar project has been the subject of recent news coverage.

Generated from interconnection queue and public data sources

Development Risk

Realization risk from now to commercial operation — financing close, EPC and tax-equity counterparty mix, and COD probability vs the proposed date. The diligence view that determines whether the deal actually closes. Powered by InfraSure's development-stage modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full development-risk decomposition for this project.

P(COD by stated date)
Financing close probability
EPC + tax-equity counterparty
Project Details

State

CA

County

Riverside

Grid Region

CAISO (California)

Market

ISO/RTO Member

Developer

Utility

SCE

Entity

CAISO

Service Type

NRIS

Point of Interconnection

Red Bluff Substation 500kV

Data Source

LBNL + Live

Risk Analytics

Composite operating-phase risk view — what this asset's risk profile will look like once it commissions. Climate hazards across its operating life, expected generation variability, and offtake counterparty exposure, decomposed into a single decision-grade score. Powered by InfraRisk.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full risk decomposition + scenarios for this project.

Climate hazards (8+)
Generation variability (P10/P50/P90)
Offtake + transmission counterparty
Technology
Solar400 MW · 50%
Battery400 MW · 50%
Generation Forecast

Forward generation outlook — first-year production estimate and 10-year P50 trajectory, with probabilistic ranges (P10/P50/P90) across weather, demand, and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's generation modeling stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full forecast + scenario decomposition for this project.

10-year P50 forecast
First-year output estimate
Weather + policy scenarios
Financial Forecast

Forward revenue, DSCR projection, and financing-close risk — conditioned on commercial operation. First-year DSCR, 10-year cashflow, and counterparty exposure across price and policy scenarios. Powered by InfraSure's asset cashflow stack.

Available on the InfraSure platform

See the full revenue + DSCR projection for this project.

10-year revenue projection
First-year DSCR
Financing close risk
Market Context
Approximate
ISO / RTO
CAISO
Trading Hub
TH_SP15_GEN-APND
Hub Confidence
MEDIUM
Nearest Node (Estimated)
OBERON_7_N122
POI Substation
Red Bluff Substation

This project's market context is estimated from its Point of Interconnection. Hub and node assignments are approximate and based on geographic inference from the POI substation name.

No insights available for this project.
InfraSure platform

Forward forecasts, scenario decomposition, and risk-decision tooling for this queue project.